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 Post Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2020 12:34 pm 
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Joined: Sun May 26, 2002 12:00 am
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Location: Vienna, Austria, EU
Now all the mail votes have been counted.

Results are already available in English on wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Viennese_state_election

The far right parties did even worse then expected and the other parties did somewhat better. I would not have expected more then 1.5% for Links and 1% for Bier and SÖZ each.

A lot of former FPÖ voters did not vote at all, so they are still there and likely wait for grass growing over the current FPÖ problems.

The social democrats are now negotiating with the Greens, the ÖVP and the NEOS.

They most likely would like best to work with the business wing of the ÖVP, but the viennese ÖVP is currently led by the Kurz-loyalists wing.

The Greens are a known quantity for them but social democrats from the outer (generally more blue collar) districts, where the SPÖ won most dislike them.

The NEOS would fit well with their policy programs, the points that the NEOS disagree with the SPÖ being ones, that the NEOS did not put much emphasis on during the campain. But likely both parties want the education agenda for themself and the NEOS have also campained on transparency more then the other parties and it's unlikely that the SPÖ wants more transparency.

Strache likely is politically dead now IMHO. He wants to found some magazine, but i don't expect a lot will come from that. His party got some district councelors (elections for the district councils happen paralell to the state elections) and he even could get one of this seats, but he has declined to take that. But i really see no future for his party. On the one hand i think he really deserves an end to his political career on the other hand strife within the far right camp always has depressed their overall results in elections, so a continued infighting would have been advantagous.

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 Post Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2020 11:07 am 
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Location: Vienna, Austria, EU
After "pre-negotiations" the SPÖ is now negotiating with the NEOS.

On the one hand it's a bit suprising, because the SPÖ rarely does anything new, if they have other options.

But it means, they have to share less powers*

* Members of the state government are picked based on the election results from alll parties. ÖVP and Greens get 2 members, the NEOS and FPÖ get 1. For some weired legal reason this system is not easy to change. But as a workaround memers of the government coming from opposition parties don't get a portfolio. So with the NEOS the SPÖ can get away with sharing only enough powers for one portfolio.

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