Forum    Search    FAQ

Board index » Chat Forums » Political Opinions and Opinionated Posts




Post new topic  Reply to topic  [ 1467 posts ] 
 
Author Message
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Tue Feb 20, 2024 9:45 am 
Moderator of DOOM!
Moderator of DOOM!
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Thu May 30, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 15852
Location: Yes.
I've turned up two things. First, an overseas bank would not be bothered by the New York judgement. So in theory Deutsche bank can lend him the money, assuming he has any collateral.

Second, the judge down in Georgia is a member of the Federalist Society; so abusing their discretion to sabotage the case against Trump wouldn't be completely out of character. We're just going to have to see when they rule.

Top 
   
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Wed Feb 21, 2024 9:15 am 
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Tue May 21, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 12407
Location: The things, they hurt
The judge in Georgia is also elected, and as bizarrely American as that is as a way of picking judges, means that he has motivation not to torch his own job.

Top 
   
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Fri Mar 08, 2024 3:40 am 
Moderator of DOOM!
Moderator of DOOM!
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Thu May 30, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 15852
Location: Yes.
Ignoring, for a moment, the political and legal issues of both men: Biden is aggressively reaching out to the people in his potential voting pool that don't currently intend to vote for him; and Trump is aggressively high-hatting their opposite numbers, who represent a greater percentage of a smaller pool. Were I a Trump partisan with an economic interest in the outcome, I'd be placing significant (and quiet) safety bets with a British bookie just on the strength of that.

But with that said: I'm amused that having told one court he can't possibly come up with a quarter of the money he needs to post to stop his properties from being seized and sold by that court, another court just told Trump that he needs to post that sum with them instead, by tomorrow, or the seizing and sale can start immediately.

Top 
   
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Fri Mar 08, 2024 7:26 pm 
Moderator of DOOM!
Moderator of DOOM!
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Thu May 30, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 15852
Location: Yes.
Well, he posted the $91 million he had to post on time (the judgement plus two years interest, because he's a criminal scum and his credit is legally worth nothing). This is everything he told another court he could possibly raise; but now he's got to find another roughly $540 million, in about two weeks, to keep the sheriff from selling his dump in Florida at bargain basement rates.

And you know, that stock fraud company with about $3 billion to buy his blog could easily save him, and the deal is now technically allowed; but the degenerate cretin couldn't stop himself from defrauding some of his partners (with a total share of 10%) by diluting the stock. So they sued, and now there's very little way he'll live long enough to see the courts clear that money again. Oops.

Top 
   
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Mon Mar 11, 2024 7:26 pm 
Moderator of DOOM!
Moderator of DOOM!
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Thu May 30, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 15852
Location: Yes.
Just a note in passing. One hears that Trump's going to get rid of 60 of the RNC professionals soon, pretty much ensuring that no one with a clue remains in the one entity legally permitted to drop money on any Republican race in the country. Not that it really matters any more, because no one is going to donate to an entity which exists entirely to be looted by Trump to pay his legal bills.

Not withstanding the Senate map, the odds of a Democratic trifecta just keep getting less absurd.

Top 
   
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Wed Mar 13, 2024 1:19 am 
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Tue May 21, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 12407
Location: The things, they hurt
Except for the small matter that Biden's still performing poorly in the polls. I know, polls this early on are not reliable, yadda yadda, but they're not outrageously wrong and nobody is expecting Biden to suddenly jump 10 points. That never happens.

There is once again a sizeable contingent of left-wing Democrats threatening to vote third party (they never learn). Everyone seems to be trying to block Covid out of their memories.* Florida is no longer a swing state thanks to Ron DeSantis. So much for predictions that it would turn blue.

So this is going to another close election, as though one of the parties hasn't been taken over by actual fascists.

* Not really surprised, people did that after the 1919 flu too.

Top 
   
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Wed Mar 13, 2024 6:33 pm 
Moderator of DOOM!
Moderator of DOOM!
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Thu May 30, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 15852
Location: Yes.
The interesting thing about the polls is that you do have to bump Biden up 3-4 points, and Trump down 3-4 points, to make them accurately model the elections they were supposed to be predicting. Trump is statistically significantly under-performing the polls for the first time in his 'career' in 'politics'; Biden is over-performing.

All of that aside, Trump's been benefiting enormously because no one has been talking about him except among the usual suspects (thus encouraging forgetfulness among the deliberately tuned out). That privilege is about to go away, and it's not likely to help him. Yes, he could win; pretty much every foreign and domestic enemy of the Constitution will be working to make it happen. But I suspect his odds are not as good as the pro-Trump and pro-horse race press wants to make it seem.

Top 
   
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Thu Mar 14, 2024 10:52 pm 
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Tue May 21, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 12407
Location: The things, they hurt
If the US were behaving like a normal country, Trump's chances of making a comeback ought to be somewhere around Jair Bolsonaro's and Park Geun-hye's - between Haha No and Prison.

Democratic backsliding is a real threat, backed by some 30%-40% of the population and passively ignored by another 20-30%. Democracy does not work when only one of the parties believes in respecting the rules. When you consider that despite its myths, universal suffrage has only been around in the US for 60 years - a reactionary movement makes total sense.

Top 
   
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Wed Mar 20, 2024 8:10 am 
Moderator of DOOM!
Moderator of DOOM!
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Thu May 30, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 15852
Location: Yes.
It certainly does, and with active corporate press assistance may finally succeed; but Trump really isn't the one to be the figurehead. Like Goldwater before him he's seen as an active danger to his own voters, and the psychopathically selfish Republicans with 'middle class' mindsets tend to find that unacceptable. They're all about everyone else paying a price for their gain, not doing it themselves; and they know full well how badly off they were under him when the epidemic hit four years ago (assuming they've forgotten all the other problems).

So Trump is losing a fifth of the registered Republicans who are sufficiently politically active to get out and vote right now (while Biden is losing about a tenth of the Democrats). Heck, half of that fifth are saying they'll vote for Biden. This bodes poorly for Trump sweeping that roughly third of the Republican coalition that won't admit they're Republicans, largely because they can't stand to associate themselves with Trump's base, while he's running a 'base only' campaign and couldn't care less if he alienates them.

Biden, on the other hand, will find it hard to actually lose many of his coalition (as opposed to the Republican fellow travelers who call themselves left wing) in a real election. Trump will ensure the next election is a referendum on Trump in spite of the corporate media, and that's all Biden needs.

Top 
   
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:46 pm 
Moderator of DOOM!
Moderator of DOOM!
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Thu May 30, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 15852
Location: Yes.
Mr. 'I can't raise a half billion dollar bond because no one will lend me the money' has posted on his blog that he has half a billion dollars in cash. One suspects the judge has questions, and the appointed monitor who just had her term extended three years and her powers enhanced a few hours before that post also has a few.

Top 
   
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Wed Mar 27, 2024 10:55 pm 
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Tue May 21, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 12407
Location: The things, they hurt
1. Most Republican-leaners have been Fox Newsed into blaming Anthony Fauci for whatever economic hardship they suffered through the pandemic. And since most of the painful slog to recovery occurred under Biden, he gets the blame for not waving a magic wand and Bleachy McHorsepaste gets off scot free.

2. Assuming that there are "sane" Republicans, they still need to show up to vote for Biden instead of staying home. That makes it way closer than I am comfortable with. I'm not convinced that they actually exist in large enough numbers to make a difference, or that they're more afraid of Trump than the liberal boogeyman du jour. Critical race theory? Transgender children? Immigrants??

This is once again coming down to several tens of thousands of votes in a small number of swing states, which by the way, no longer include Florida. I'm not writing Biden off, mainly because I believe most American women do not want to live in some sort of Gileadean nightmare. But I am not discounting the possibility that the US will sleepwalk into some Eastern European strongman LARP either.

Biden's delivered what people voted for - boring normalcy - and nobody gets credit for being boring. And the thing about Trump's clownishness is that it makes it easy for those looking for a plausible excuse to dismiss the threat he poses. Oh stop hyperventilating. He's joking. You think they wouldn't fall for that again, but a lot of these people think his first term was basically fine.

Top 
   
 Post subject: Re: Trump.
 Post Posted: Sun Apr 14, 2024 2:50 pm 
Moderator of DOOM!
Moderator of DOOM!
User avatar
Offline
Joined: Thu May 30, 2002 12:00 am
Posts: 15852
Location: Yes.
Well, unless another of his wives is found mysteriously dead at the bottom of a stairwell, it looks like Trump will be in criminal court come Monday. For what it's worth: there's a bit of local lore that Bragg, the DA, is cautious to the point of cowardly when it comes to prosecutions; he hates to do it unless it's a slam dunk conviction.

Amusing bit of trivia, btw; if convicted, Trump will be disenfranchised. It will be a felony for him to vote for himself.

Top 
   
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
 
Post new topic  Reply to topic  [ 1467 posts ] 

Board index » Chat Forums » Political Opinions and Opinionated Posts


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

 
 

 
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to: